Google Android Trend - Delay Merger Delay Leak

There has been a noticeable trend in the reports on Android for the past few months as Google and the Open Handset Alliance members echo the party line:

“We’re still on track to announce Android-powered phones this year” specifically “the 2nd half of 2008” and “we do not provide comments on rumors and speculation“.

Since Google is not talking lets look at the news using a combination of Google Trends and Alerts plus some logical filtering of unreliable sources and splogs to see the following:

• Late June - The Wall Street Journal writes that Android is facing a delay to the 4th quarter, which actually isn’t a delay as Google stated from last year it would debut in the 2nd half of 2008, which the 4th quarter is a part of.
• Late July- Analysts predict mergers of Android with Symbian, LiMo, RIM, etc any of which may happen in time but in the near term purely fanciful speculation.
• Early August - Barrons reported once again Android will be delayed, but this time it will be pushed back to 2009.
• Mid August - An HTC Dream prototype video is leaked on YouTube and then the The New York Times heralds the Johnny-come-lately news that T-Mobile will be the first with an Android-enabled handset created by HTC, which incidentally was posted here being among the first sites declaring this back in early July when T-Mobile revealed it would expand 3G service.

So using this trend it is logical to predict that some news organization around early September will exclaim Android is delayed yet again.

This time its a delay only to an artificially speculated arrival date of October 2008 if it in fact launches in November or December, but its never really a delay since this falls in both the 2nd half and by the end of 2008 official line from Google.

My prediction from sources is that a new Android SDK will be announced by the end of August and barring any complication from the FCC in September a joint announcement from Google and the Open Handset Alliance on the debut of an Android enabled phone, else the easy money is on trend of hearing for some time “we do not provide comments on rumors and speculation“.

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